It was the great Captain Sensible, erstwhile bass player of the popular beat combo outfit the Damned, who once sang so memorably that he was “glad it’s all over”. I don’t think he was thinking in particular about a general election campaign but I, for one, am very glad it’s nearly all over. The worst, most vacuous general election campaign of my lifetime, with all three major parties led by political pygmies, is coming to an end and soon we can resume life as we know it under a Conservative government.
I am in no doubt that Mrs May will be returned to Downing Street with a large majority tomorrow. First, when the election was called, I thought May might enjoy a majority of 150. A few days later, I thought it could even be 200. As the Maybot as unravelled under the public gaze and shown herself to be a seriously lightweight politician, I revised that view downwards. My feeling now is that Theresa May will win a majority of between 70 and 100. My feeling is around 90.
Labour is piling up the votes in places it is already strong, especially in London. In its great northern and Midland heartlands, the feeling is that Labour is haemorrhaging votes. Whilst the overall percentage of Labour votes tomorrow may be up on Ed Miliband’s dismal effort in 2015, Labour could suffer its worst election defeat since 1935. Piling up the votes in the wrong places is part of the explanation as to why Labour will lose and, yet again, most of the opinion polls will be wrong because, as usual, too many young people will not bother to vote.
I find it simply incredible that over 40% of those who vote tomorrow can possibly believe May is any good. It is not just my biased mainstream left wing view that makes me think this: it is that she has performed so badly. She will win with a policy-free manifesto, armed with a strategy to negotiate with the EU that not even her own party knows anything about and all she will have done is toured the country spouting cliches to Tory party members. To me, voting Conservative is the political equivalent of a full frontal lobotomy. Millions will be voting for absolutely nothing tomorrow because May has promised them nothing beyond her dementia tax and to make pensioners less well off. Don’t come knocking on my door by the autumn saying “I didn’t vote for that!”
The only good thing about expecting a large Tory majority is that I am unlikely to end up being disappointed, unless that is May wins a landslide. If she does, I would say that the country had gone mad. Literally.
This, I believe, will be the high water mark for a hard left led Labour. Whilst a Labour defeat will barely trouble the hipsters and chattering classes in the gentrified cities and towns who proclaimed the new leader as the saviour, there will surely be disappointment and disillusionment among many of those who bought into the Corbyn cult. All that he promised will not happen now and instead we face five long years of economic chaos and division under May. It was fun while it lasted but it will not be fun from now on.
I fear that Theresa May has the potential to be a disastrous prime minister of the UK and her recklessness is only rivalled by the recklessness of those who tomorrow will vote for her and her wretched party. If Labour had a half decent leader, I doubt that we would be having an election tomorrow but if we did, Labour would be in with a real chance. But it hasn’t, we are and Labour has no chance.
A Tory majority of 90, I reckon, with Jeremy Corbyn clinging on to power amid the wreckage. Not for the first time, May won’t believe her good luck.